Number Crunching in Transport

Sunday, August 15, 2010

URBAN FREIGHT - A Victim of Policy Neglect

Sudhir Gota


“The existing urban freight policies and strategies are often conflicting and contradictory but finding a sustainable solution is critical… “ 



Many cities often forget freight issues when scripting the urban transportation plans and thus the result is haphazard implementation of solutions which are often iatrogenesis in nature.  The traditional approach for solving urban freight is to ban trucks during day times, build bypasses and truck terminals outside the cities.  Some of these solutions which provide priority to passenger transport over freight movement may provide short term relief but may induce long term adverse impacts. Both passenger and freight transport need inclusive policies and not conflicting strategies. For example, consider the future strategies being proposed by Indian cities as shown in below table. The lack of interest shown by the city to tackle the movement of goods is obvious[1]. 


Sl.No
CDP for City
Problem
Strategy/Action
1
Chennai
The number of routes for goods movement is limited. There is also acute shortage of parking for goods vehicles.
Plans to shift some of the wholesale markets and create truck terminals on the periphery of the City.
2
Ahmedabad
The ring roads not fully developed, inadequate parking facilities, increase in vehicles
Improvements in road network, development of decentralized rail transport terminal
3
Delhi
The high growth rate of vehicular traffic volumes on roads causing congestion, delay, safety issues, pollution, inadequate parking, Intermixing of local and regional passenger and goods traffic.
Development of goods and passenger terminals on the basis of directional
Improvements in Road network.
4
Agra
Agra has a transport terminal and it is being developed and improved. However many transport agencies are operating from various parts of the city, resulting in many cargo vehicles parked on the roads. This on-road parking hampers the smooth flow of traffic.
Development of ring road, parking facilities and truck terminals
 Makeshift Strategies adopted in the Development Plan for Urban transport improvement

Similar situation exists in several Asian countries and cities. The developed nations like Japan and Korea have provided the directions for streamlining the freight transport and improving the efficiency of the system.  For example, Republic of Korea is aggressively pursuing freight solutions to reduce the emissions. It is planning to make the freight movement environment friendly by building infrastructure supporting quality movement and eliminating bottlenecks. Eight integrated freight terminals and four inland container depots are being constructed. Since more than one-third of trips are deadheaded, a logistics integrated information system is being developed. The integrated system being built is intended to enable electronic data interchange (EDI) and provide freight traffic information such as real-time freight and vehicle location. Also efforts are being made to standardize the logistics-related facilities and equipment. 
The Government has adopted the “unit load system rule” that provides standardized specifications for containers, loading equipment, freight trucks and freight packages. Tax exemption for investments in logistics standardization is also allowed, in order to enhance the standardization process. As per the National logistics visions and policy for the twenty-first century and framework act of low carbon green growth – model targets have been set on freight movement. As per the target, by 2012, the railways share should increase from 8 to 15% and coastal shipping share should increase from 18 to 22%. The impact of such actions on urban freight would be huge.

Some of the strategies commonly adopted in Asia are

Sl.No
Strategy/freight action
Impact
1
Bypass construction
Experiences suggest land use development along the bypass thus leading to sprawl over long term. However, immediate impact with reduced congestion over short term on urban roads
2
Restricting trucks during day time on certain corridors
Loss of operation hours, heavy traffic impacts during night, increase in growth of light commercial vehicles, freight three wheelers, increase in PM concentration. The daytime traffic flow is improved. Increased use of NMT, two wheelers and three wheelers.
3
Regulation of delivery time

Delayed delivery, increase in VKT of trucks
4
Speed limits for trucks
Improvement in safety
5
Banning slow goods vehicle like cycle rickshaws
Loss of livelihood, traffic deterioration over long term, increase in use of two-three wheelers for freight delivery
6
Restricting parking space for goods vehicle
Increase of illegal parking, increase in trucks idling

7
Age restrictions for trucks
Environmental benefits, adverse impact to truck building industry
8
Increase of lane capacity of city roads
Generation of induced traffic and increased congestion over long term
9
Establishment of terminal in the inner city linking multimodal transport like railways/port, promoting urban consolidation centers
Leads to freight concentration in the specific zone, allows seamless flow of freight among different modes and may improve the efficiency
10
The use of ICT (such as RFID, vehicle routing
software or load sharing systems)
Reduction in VKT and improvement in traffic flows, environmental benefits
11
Strengthening vehicle emission standards and inspection and maintenance
Environmental benefits
12
Vehicle load restriction
Prevents adverse impact on urban road pavements
13
Congestion charge
Improves the performance of the network and improves air quality
14
Promoting small vehicles
Increases the mode share of NMT, two and three commercial vehicles and LCV’s.
15
Special zoning for logistic activity
Leads to freight concentration in the specific zone thus allowing consolidation of the freight network
16
Tax instruments – vehicle tax, fuel tax, green tax
Leads to improvement in efficiency of the system
17
Eco-driving
Eco-driving training is adopted by large fleet owners and its impact on fuel efficiency is good.  However, there are chances of increase in VKT to offset fuel savings.
18
Improving Trucks Design and fuel efficiency
This leads to improvement in vehicle efficiency and thus environmental benefits.
Table - Strategies adopted in solving urban freight problems


Experts are now arguing that traditional strategy of banning trucks during day time or restricting truck movement or banning NMT freight may cause environmental damage.  The external costs of trucks are high and urban freight is as big a problem as passenger transport. Increasing population, economic growth, motorization and sprawl are all affecting freight movement as passenger movement. Following are some of the aspects that need to be considered before considering solutions for urban freight:

1.     High Intensity of urban freight movement – Research shows that in India, the urban freight VKT in total metropolitan VKT is substantial with 37% contribution. Latest research from China indicates that cars and trucks tend to be the largest contributors to CO2 emissions in urban areas. The larger cities with high industrial sectors or ports activity, such as Guangzhou, Chongqing, and Wuhan, tend to have at least half of their energy use and CO2 emission coming from trucks. In Bangkok, delivery motorcycles make nearly 4.6 million vehicle-kilometers per day. The main reason for such a high intensity is the existing traffic management strategies which are conducive for motorcycle freight. Investigations in Hong Kong reveal that on an average, goods vehicles made approximate 7.4 trips per day. Goods vans, light goods vehicles and heavy goods vehicles made an average of 7.7 to 7.9 trips per day. Medium goods vehicles made fewer trips per day (6.7 trips per day) while container vehicles made 6.4 trips per day. Interestingly, the total travel/day on an average was 87 km. 

2.     Myth about city registrations – Latest survey in Guangzhou, China shows that majority of trucks operating in the city/region is registered elsewhere. The number of heavy/medium duty trucks registered outside Guangzhou outnumber the trucks registered in Guangzhou by 2.6 : 1, to 36.7: 1. For light duty trucks the ratio is about the same, and for mini duty trucks the ratio is reversed.  At 2 cargo centers surveyed in Guangzhou, more than 95% heavy duty trucks were registered outside Guangdong Province. This shows that trucks registered outside Guangzhou contribute significantly to the freight transportation. This makes it very difficult to look for city based solutions.

3.     Composition of operating cost of city trucks - Survey in Hong Kong reveals that salary costs account for 60-70% of urban freight movement. Fuel costs are only 10-30%. This is a significant point often missed by policy makers.

4.     CO2 Emissions – Consider the case of Manila, experts have analyzed the impact of large freight restrictions and found that such measures are not effective from a regional point of view though may be effective from an area specific scale.  The researchers have found that abolishing the existing truck restriction would lead to lower traffic and environmental impacts among the scenarios, this alternative might encounter difficulty in implementation and resistance from the stakeholders.

5.     Air Pollution - Consider the case of Delhi, experts here used the traffic management option commonly adopted in Asia i.e. to ban truck movement in daytime. Though this initially reduced the PM levels during the daytime, however, due to the rapid growth in truck numbers during the night time, the contribution of trucks to day-time PM levels is increasing as night time emissions linger into the daytime. 

6.     Air Pollution – Experience from Bangkok and Tianjin shows that Trucks contribute 59% and 44% of PM emissions from transport.

7.     Research from Europe has indicated that a leading freight provider like La Petite Reine with 50 employees and 53 bikes by 2007 had transported 700,000 packages, a total of 210,000 km. In the process they displaced nearly 600,000 tonne-kilometres of van transport in Paris alone and saved 204 tonnes of CO2 emissions.  Research also indicates that the most customers for cycle freight cite the environment as a factor in their choice, but consider cost, speed and reliability to be of higher priorities.  This necessitates a discussion as to if the freight NMT transport share would increase if there is some kind of restriction on motor vehicles.

Finding solutions to urban freight is very important. Currently, in midst of urbanization and motorization, the policy makers are struggling to find solutions for sustainable urban freight and thus initiating policies which creates conflicts with passenger transport and which are contradictory in nature.  It’s not an easy task. Efficient freight solutions need careful planning and vision.


[1] It is also to be noted that research from India has in fact shown that the composition of freight vehicles in the total fleet is significant ( 5-30%) and the quantum of freight flow has exhibited no correlation with the size of city in terms of population and the dominant commodities were food products and building materials. The solutions for such commodities need to be different. The freight sector in general has been a victim of policy neglect.

Sunday, August 8, 2010

Few Insights on Bike Sharing Schemes


Sudhir Gota

My previous blog resulted in a request for more insights on bike sharing system. Please find below some insights on such systems based on literature review and my understanding of the subject.


1.             A minimum standard of bicycle infrastructure is necessary to ensure safety and accessibility to bike-sharing stations. Experts argue that bikeways, bike lanes, special intersection modifications, and priority traffic signals and other facilities are the key for its success.  Without any infrastructure, bike sharing scheme does not have any chance.


2.             The number of daily users per bike increase for larger and denser systems. Isolated small systems have smaller impact. In other words, larger the system, wider the coverage, more would be the usage of a bike in a day.


3.             Bike-sharing trips should be short and the system should encourage short trips.


4.             More number of bikes should be located in CBD/tourist areas as the usage would be more


5.             Stations should be separated by not more than 500m. As a ageneral rule of thumb, It should be ideally less than 300m. In case, it’s more than 500m, it adversely affects the usage.


6.             Pricing should be optimal - virtually all schemes provide first 30 min or 60 min free to encourage short trips


7.             Bicycle availability and in good condition is important. To ensure this one needs to provide good budget for maintenance. many schemes use atleast 1000 USD/Year/Bike for operational maintenance


8.             In case the terrain is hilly, bike distribution to stations becomes difficult (people would not ride uphill). So distributing the bikes with trucks to various stations is a common solution. But better idea is to vary the pricing... provide more free time at low demand area.


9.             Availability of people already biking was considered initially as a recipe for success. Many cities which initially adopted this had high bike share (10-30%)... but slowly after its success in US where the bike population is not even 1% is making people consider this as a myth.


10.           No smart bike program has made a profit to date from its operation. So schemes designed with profit in mind are less likely to be successful.


11.           Interesting thing about ownership is that now even public transit authorities are getting involved in these schemes for solving first and last connectivity problem.  In fact, many consider that Bikes and stations should be co-located with transit for best integration.


12.           Temperature and rains have big impact. For example, data from velib indicates that the ratio of trips during bad weather and good weather is sometimes as high as 1: 4.6. The success of the scheme depends on design to counter the adverse impact of weather. Some cities are proposing 3 season design which means that the system would not work during rainy season or in hot summer. By using appropriate design like shades, overhead cover, routes through interlinked parks etc. the weather impacts can be reduced.


13.            Theft is a big problem. Many assume that this system does not work in cities having high crime rates based on Velib experience. This is not true. The design makes a big difference. Barcelona has higher crime rate then Paris but only few number of bikes vandalized or stolen. The locking mechanism and the technology used make a big difference.  Also, one cannot keep security deposit less than the cost of the bike (many cities have done that). Also, by allotting appropriate budget ( say 10%)  thefts can be reduced.


14.           Average trip length of bike users is around 4 km and >60% of users are less than 40 years old.


15.           Placement of bike station requires managing the conflicting desires of program visibility and aesthetics.


16.           Bike sharing stations should be so located so as to encourage multimodal transport. Locating bikes only at destinations or origins does not work.   


17.           Bike-share programs need have more docking stations than bicycles (typically 40-50% more) to ensure that users can always find a place to leave their bicycle. Sufficient bicycles and docks are needed to guarantee accessibility of bikes.


18.           Some argue that keeping the system open for 24 hours can increase the patronage as seen in Velib. Nearly 25% of trips are between 9 pm to 3 am. So keeping the stations open during the sunrise to sunset may reduce the demand.


19.           Experts believe that mandating helmet use on bike-sharing may not be a great idea and may adversely influence ridership. Some cities are changing their laws on helmets when implementing bike sharing schemes while some are handing out free helmets with annual subscription, launching safety campaigns etc.


20.           Share bikes should be distinctive and should be designed for urban areas. Like BRTS, branding is important.


21.           In case the commercial model follows franchise model relying on bicycle advertisements, than the priority areas for initial placement depends on demand.

Friday, August 6, 2010

Thursday, August 5, 2010

Revolutionizing Public Transport with Bike Sharing Systems

Sudhir Gota

London Mayor’s ambition to increase cycling in the city by 400 percent in 25 years has resulted in development of a new bicycle sharing scheme which is being publicized as   "a new dawn for the bicycle in the capital“.

London is not alone.  Such systems exist in more than 260 areas/cities worldwide. These kind of schemes are formulated with the philosophy of collaborative consumption and the best thing is -it’s low cost, works best for short trip lengths and helps prevent sprawl and improves health. Many believe that like BRTS, these systems have the potential to transform public transport systems and also help in evolving public acceptability of bike as a means of active transport.

This system has evolved in last four decades - from simple painted, free-to-use bicycle system to coin-operated locking system to third generation systems using card reading technology. Experts believe that the next generation of schemes would be more techno-savvy i.e. demand-responsive and multi-modal systems.  Good overviews of such systems are available here and here. Rich resources are being daily updated here.

Source : CAI Asia

Statistics reveal that the Bike-share programs bring substantial numbers of new people into bicycling. The evaluation of different schemes suggests that substantial number of public bike riders used to make bus trips (46%) earlier.  Clearly, increasing the number of buses need not be the only sustainable solution for the planners.  Investigations show that such schemes do not have significant impact on current congestion levels.  The approximate shift from Cars, two wheelers and taxis is found to be only 12%.  But, one also needs to consider the future growth of vehicles and subsequent congestion and future infrastructure investment required to realize the impact of such systems.  The positive impact of such schemes on environment should not be neglected. Quick conservative assessment reveals that a small system in Asia with 1000 bikes on an average can reduce 120 tons of CO2 emissions/year or 120 kg’s of CO2 emissions per bike per year.  On economic terms, the savings may be less but then one needs to consider the long term impact on people’s mindset and the land use.

Why bike sharing system is so popular with people?

Reports reveal that in a survey in China many people were asked as to why they prefer public bike systems and they responded - 35% - Convenient for transfer, 32% - Saves time versus previous mode, 18% - Environmental Friendly and 16% - Convenience


 
View The Bike-sharing World Map in a larger map


  
It’s clear that when technology and infrastructure are harmonized to create a cheap public transport sharing system, the results can be exciting. In fact in order to encourage short trips, these systems provide generally free service up to 60 minutes.  Reports suggest that on an average, the bikes are being used 2 to 16 times a day depending upon the location, scheme and city structure. Such is the popularity of the system that it is been developed, financed and managed by diverse set of stakeholders ranging from local governments, transport agencies, advertising companies, for-profit, and non-profit organizations.



System
VELIB’
BICING
BIXI
Beijing
Hangzhou
Nanchang
Wuhan
Operator
JCDecaux
ClearChannel Adshel
Sta onnement de Montréal
Fortune
Bicycle service
Xinfeida
Xinfieda
City
Paris
Barcelona
Montreal, Canada
Beijing
Hangzhou
Nanchang
Wuhan
Start Date
Jul-07
Mar-07
Spring 2009
Aug-05
May-08
Aug-09
Nov-08
Bicycles
20,600
6,000
5000
10,000
50,000
1000
20000
Bike Stations
1451
400
400
1000
2000
30
718
Rentals/day
12.5
16
15
2.32
8
4
5

The potential for bike sharing in Asia is huge. Researchers believe that more than 60 percent of the increase in the world's urban population over the next three decades will occur in Asia. To accommodate such a large population not only the cities would enlarge, number of cities would also increase rapidly. Bike sharing schemes with low cost and high performance can provide better solutions for cities having significant number of trips with short trip lengths (less than 6 km).  Mark my words – “The bike revolution would revolutionize public transport systems.  

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